Contributor: Newsom’s cynical redistricting ploy ought to be rejected by voters

Gov. Gavin Newsom’s political ambitions have reached a brand new low. In his efforts to appear like a “fighter” forward of a possible run for the presidency in 2028, he’s prepared to disregard democratic guidelines in pursuit of political goals, setting apart the state’s unbiased redistricting system to counter Texas Republicans’ proposed partisan gerrymander. Newsom and his allies need to maximise the variety of California Democrats elected to Congress in subsequent yr’s midterm elections.

In 2008 and 2010, California voters handed poll initiatives that gave the ability to attract the state’s legislative and congressional district traces to the California Residents Redistricting Fee, a 14-person unbiased physique composed of 5 Democrats, 5 Republicans and 4 people who find themselves registered with neither of the 2 main events. Potential commissioners undergo an intensive vetting and choice course of (which the state Legislature participates in) and are prohibited from many types of political activism, together with donating to candidates, operating for workplace or working for elected officers.

For the reason that newest redistricting, in 2021 — triggered as regular by the constitutionally mandated decennial census — the map crafted by the fee has survived authorized and political challenges, and the present districts are set to be in place by the subsequent spherical of redistricting in 2031.

Now Newsom needs to prematurely redraw the traces and craft his personal partisan gerrymander for the November 2026 midterm elections, wresting management of the method away from the fee and giving it as a substitute to the Democratic majority within the state Legislature. Final week, Newsom confirmed that he’ll name a particular election to get voter approval for this end-run across the fee, however even dressed up with a vote, that is cynical politics, not democracy, at work.

Newsom’s excuse is the sudden partisan redistricting Texas Gov. Greg Abbott and President Trump are backing to extend the variety of Republicans elected to Congress from that state, and in flip, to reinforce the social gathering’s probabilities to retain management of the U.S. Home of Representatives.

California Meeting Speaker Robert Rivas (D-Hollister) calls the Texas motion a “Trumpian energy seize,” and Newsom assails it because the “rigging of the system by the president of the US.” (Current public opinion analysis carried out by Newsom’s pollster revealed that the general public is extra more likely to help a California redistricting maneuver if the combat has Trump, not Texas, because the central villain.)

However two wrongs don’t make a proper.

A key distinction between the proposed line redrawing in Texas and the California plan is that the previous, nevertheless brazen, is authorized and precedented, whereas the latter particularly contravenes California legislation and the expressed will of the state’s voters. In Texas, legislators are entrusted with drawing district traces, and a mid-decade partisan gerrymander they executed in 2003, once more to spice up Republican illustration within the U.S. Home, was upheld by the U.S. Supreme Courtroom (apart from one district whose traces violated the Voting Rights Act).

However California voters explicitly positioned the drawing of district traces within the arms of the unbiased residents’ fee to take politicians out of the method. Commissioners draw district traces primarily based on quite a few components, together with legal guidelines, judicial choices and inhabitants shifts. They’re sure by a fundamental rule: District traces can’t be drawn to purposefully profit a particular social gathering or candidate. And all of the fee’s deliberations should occur in public. The maps they’ve devised have been criticized by each Democrats and Republicans; and that’s one of many many the explanation why California voters entrusted the fee with this essential energy.

If Newsom will get his means, California’s districts for the 2026 midterm will make sure the election of as few Republicans as attainable. Current experiences recommend that his gerrymander will imply Republicans win solely 4 out of 52 Home seats (9%), in contrast with the present California delegation, which incorporates 9 Republicans (17%). Republicans make up about 25% of California’s registered voters and statewide Republican candidates have gained roughly 40% of the vote over the previous couple of election cycles.

The truth that Newsom’s plan returns the ability to redistrict to the residents fee after the midterms makes it no much less a subversion of the democratically expressed will of California’s voters. So as to add insult to damage, the value of the particular election to ratify the scheme is estimated to be about $60 million in Los Angeles County alone, with statewide prices seemingly exceeding $200 million.

By bending electoral guidelines in service of their very own political pursuits, Newsom and California Democrats develop into no higher than Abbott and Texas Republicans. And Newsom’s hypocrisy strains the credibility of his argument that Trump and his allies are diminishing democracy.

If Newsom strikes ahead together with his cynical plan, Californians will at the very least have the ability to reject it on the poll field this November. Voters ought to reinforce their dedication to minimizing the position of partisanship and politics in redistricting, and to the unbiased California Residents Redistricting Fee.

Lanhee J. Chen, a contributing author to Opinion, is an American public coverage fellow on the Hoover Establishment. He was a Republican candidate for California controller in 2022.