Gov. Gavin Newsom used his closing State of the State tackle to underscore California’s jaw-dropping crime figures — stats that he mentioned refute the president’s claims about widespread homicide and mayhem.
To place in perspective among the numbers cited by the governor on Thursday:
The final time homicides have been this low in Oakland, Rev. Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. was visiting Joan Baez at Santa Rita Jail to commend her on her latest arrest in protest of the Vietnam draft.
Killings haven’t been so uncommon in San Francisco since celebrity Marilyn Monroe wed baseball legend Joe DiMaggio at Metropolis Corridor.
And violent deaths within the metropolis of Los Angeles fell to charges not seen because the Beatles performed Dodgers Stadium, their penultimate public present.
“We’ve seen double-digit decreases in crime general within the state of California,” Newsom mentioned. “We’ve received extra work to do, however to these with that California derangement syndrome, I’ll repeat — it’s time to replace your speaking factors.”
The governor’s remarks observe reporting by The Instances that confirmed L.A.’s murder price is nearing a file low, mirroring tendencies in different cities nationwide.
With the counts primarily based on knowledge from the LAPD and different regulation enforcement companies, President Trump’s insistence that crime in California is uncontrolled has come to look more and more bombastic. Not too long ago, the president has modified his message to warn of a potential crime resurgence.
“We’ll come again, maybe in a a lot totally different and stronger kind, when crime begins to soar once more,” Trump mentioned on Fact Social in a put up asserting an finish to his authorized battle to take care of Nationwide Guard troops in L.A., Portland and Chicago. “Solely a query of time!”
In his speech Thursday, Newsom credited the stark drop in violence to a flood of crime-fighting money unleashed by the California Legislature.
“Nobody’s walked away from public security,” Newsom mentioned. “We didn’t flip a blind eye to this, we invested in it. We didn’t discuss it, we leaned in.”
However specialists mentioned the fact is extra difficult. Those that research the foundation causes of crime say that it could take years, if not a long time, to disentangle the causes of the pandemic-era surge in violence and the precipitous drop that has adopted.
Trump hammered lawlessness in California’s streets in the course of the 2024 presidential marketing campaign and all through his first yr again within the White Home. He hardly ever names Newsom with out invoking crime and chaos, and frequently threatens to surge armed troopers again into into the streets.
On the similar time, the Trump administration has slashed tons of of hundreds of thousands in federal funding from college security grants, youth mentoring packages and gang intervention networks that specialists say have been instrumental in bettering public security.
Proponents fear these cuts might threaten L.A.’s patchwork of other disaster response packages geared toward easing the town’s reliance on regulation enforcement. Lately, scores of teams have sprung as much as help individuals coping with homelessness, drug dependancy and the signs of untreated psychological well being issues — all of which may heighten the notion of crime, even when precise numbers go down.
Looming cuts in federal spending might hinder efforts to scale up these initiatives, some warned.
“I simply don’t know the way we will proceed to pattern in the fitting path with out persevering with to put money into issues that work,” mentioned Thurman Barnes, assistant director of the New Jersey Gun Violence Analysis Middle.
In response to knowledge printed by the Main Cities Chiefs Assn., homicides have been down in San Francisco, San José, Sacramento and Oakland. Different violent crimes, together with rape, aggravated assault and theft, additionally dropped, with a handful of exceptions.
Property crime was additionally down, the governor mentioned Thursday.
Road-level dysfunction and perceptions of widespread lawlessness helped topple progressive administrations throughout California in 2024 and earned Trump an surprising windfall in among the state’s bluest cities.
These issues are “on the core” of California voters’ frustrations, Newsom acknowledged Thursday.
“We’re seeing outcomes, making streets safer for everybody,” the governor mentioned.
Jeff Asher, a number one knowledgeable within the subject of criminology, mentioned it’s laborious to say whether or not the notion hole is closing “as a result of we don’t essentially monitor it tremendous systematically.”
However he pointed to a Gallup ballot from late final yr that confirmed lower than half of People believed that crime had gone up — the primary time in twenty years that that quantity had dipped beneath 50%.
“The pandemic broke us in quite a lot of methods, and we’re beginning to not really feel as damaged,” he mentioned.
Newsom additionally touted sharp declines within the variety of individuals residing on the streets.
Unsheltered homelessness dropped 9% in California and greater than 10% in Los Angeles, the governor introduced — knowledge he sought to distinction with an 18% rise in homelessness nationwide.
The sight of encampments and other people within the throes of psychosis within the streets drives perceptions of lawlessness and hazard, research present. Reducing it soothes these fears.
However California’s general homeless inhabitants stays stubbornly excessive, with solely modest reductions. Federal funding cuts might hamper efforts to additional scale back these numbers, specialists warned.
Fairly than dig into the complexities of crime, Newsom sought to painting the president himself as the motive force of lawlessness, calling the primary yr of his second time period a “carnival of chaos.”
“We face an assault on our values not like something I’ve seen in my lifetime,” the governor mentioned. “Secret police. Companies being raided. Home windows smashed, residents detained, residents shot. Masked males snatching individuals in broad daylight, individuals disappearing. Utilizing American cities as coaching grounds for america navy.”
“It’s time for the president of america to do his job, not flip his again on People that occur to dwell within the nice state of California,” Newsom mentioned.
