(That is the Warren Buffett Watch e-newsletter, information and evaluation on all issues Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway. You’ll be able to enroll right here to obtain it each Friday night in your inbox.)
Berkshire’s inventory features as AI worries depress Wall Avenue
The upturn for Berkshire shares has minimize its underperformance versus the benchmark S&P 500 to 4.3 proportion factors from 12.2 proportion factors on October 29.
Working income for Berkshire’s wholly owned corporations had been up 34% to nearly $13.5 billion within the third quarter, with a 200% improve for insurance coverage underwriting earnings.
There have been once more no inventory buybacks, an indication Buffett doesn’t assume Berkshire shares are considerably undervalued regardless of their weak spot since Might.
With no cash spent on shopping for again Berkshire shares and fairness gross sales outpacing purchases, the corporate’s September 30 money hit $381.7 billion, up 10.9% for the reason that finish of June.
When you subtract BNSF’s money and account for the timing of some Treasury invoice purchases, the overall is $354.3 billion, up 4.3% from June.
Buffett’s farewell message?
Warren Buffett could also be delivering his remaining message as Berkshire’s CEO subsequent Monday.
This week the corporate confirmed in a information launch what it instructed the Wall Avenue Journal final week.
“On Monday, November tenth, Berkshire shall be issuing a press launch which will include a message from Mr. Buffett relating to philanthropy, Berkshire and different issues that Berkshire shareholders and others could discover to be of curiosity.”
Warren Buffett walks the ground forward of the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholders Assembly in Omaha, Nebraska on Might 3, 2024.
David A. Grogen | CNBC
The philanthropy half will most likely be related to his annual Thanksgiving contributions to household foundations.
The “Berkshire and different issues” portion may very well be one thing of a farewell message as he prepares to step down as CEO on the finish of the yr.
Whereas he’ll stay chairman of the board, he won’t be on stage at subsequent Might’s assembly and new CEO Greg Abel shall be writing the annual letter to shareholders.
Since he seems to be deliberately limiting his future alternatives to talk to shareholders and the remainder of the world, Buffett could also be able to have his remaining say now.
10-Q clues level to extra gross sales of Apple and Financial institution of America
We can’t know for positive till subsequent Friday’s launch of Berkshire’s Q3 fairness portfolio snapshot, nevertheless it appears like there have been extra gross sales of Apple shares through the three months ending September 30.
CNBC.com’s Yun Li notes Berkshire’s 10-Q final Saturday reported a $1.2 billion decline in its value foundation for client product shares, which would come with Apple.
She additionally factors out that Apple’s 24% acquire through the quarter would have supplied a chance for Buffett to lock in additional income.
Apple stays Berkshire’s largest fairness holding, at present valued at $75.2 billion, nevertheless it has minimize the place by 69% over the previous two years.
Barron’s divides that $1.2 billion value foundation drop by $35, Apple’s per-share foundation, to estimate Berkshire could have offered 35 million shares for round $8 billion, primarily based on Apple’s common value of $230 per share through the quarter.
With Apple reporting in its 10-Q that it had $12.4 billion in Q3 fairness gross sales, Barron’s suggests quite a lot of the remaining $4.4 billion could also be Financial institution of America gross sales, one other huge place that Berkshire has been sharply lowering.
That stake has been minimize by round 40% for the reason that starting of final yr.
At $32.2 billion, it’s Berkshire’s third largest fairness holding.
Borrowing extra yen is predicted to gasoline extra shopping for in Japan
All 5 of the shares are at or close to all-time highs.
The mixed worth of Berkshire’s reported holdings is approaching $33 billion, up from $31 billion only one month in the past.
The determine may very well be even increased assuming a few of Berkshire’s continued shopping for has not but been publicly revealed.
‘It is not me’
Berkshire Hathaway has a brand new warning about YouTube movies with “photos or AI created photos impersonating” Warren Buffett.
A information launch Thursday stated, “Typically, such video photos of Mr. Buffett could seem to seem like him however the sound of the impersonator talking in a really flat monotone voice is clearly not the voice of Mr. Buffett.”
It added, “Mr. Buffett is anxious that a lot of these fraudulent movies have gotten a spreading virus. People who’re much less conversant in Mr. Buffett could imagine these movies are actual and be misled by the contents of those movies.”
In April, a Berkshire launch cited unspecified “stories at present circulating on social media” about “feedback allegedly made” by Buffett and stated, “All such stories are false.”
Buffett additionally warned shareholders on the 2024 Berkshire annual assembly that AI’s capability to create faux audio and video may make scamming “the expansion business of all time.”
BUFFETT AROUND THE INTERNET
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HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE ARCHIVE
In investing, you possibly can’t be scared when others are scared (2010)
Warren Buffett explains why buyers ought to have a look at their shares the identical means they might have a look at proudly owning a farm or an residence.
WARREN BUFFETT: When you’ve got a temperament that when others are fearful, you are going to get scared your self, you already know, you aren’t going to make some huge cash in securities over time, perhaps.
You realize, individuals actually — in the event that they did not have a look at quotations — however in fact, the entire world is urging them to have a look at quotations, and greater than that, do one thing primarily based on small modifications in quotations.
However assume how rather more rational — we have talked about it earlier than — however assume how rather more rational investing in a farm is than the way in which many individuals purchase shares.
When you purchase a farm, do you get a quote subsequent week, do you get a quote subsequent month? When you purchase an residence home, do you get a quote subsequent week or month?
No, you have a look at the residence home or the farm, and also you say, “I anticipate it to provide so many bushels of soybeans and corn, and if it does that, it meets my expectations.”
In the event that they purchase a inventory and so they assume if it goes up it is fantastic, and if it goes down it is unhealthy.
We predict simply the other. When it goes down, we like it, as a result of we’ll purchase extra. And if it goes up, it kills us to purchase extra.
And I — you already know — every kind — you already know, Ben Graham wrote about it. It has been defined. However if you cannot get your self in that psychological perspective, you are going to be scared each time all people else is scared.
And to anticipate someone else to let you know when to purchase and due to this fact get your braveness again up or one thing, you already know —
I may get this fellow’s braveness up considerably by saying it is a fantastic time to purchase, after which per week from now he’d run into someone else that tells him the world is coming to an finish and he’d promote.
I imply, he is a dealer’s buddy, however he is not going to make some huge cash.
BERKSHIRE STOCK WATCH
BERKSHIRE’S TOP STOCK HOLDINGS – Nov. 7, 2025
Berkshire’s high holdings of disclosed publicly traded shares within the U.S., Japan, and Hong Kong, by market worth, primarily based on at the moment’s closing costs.
Holdings are as of June 30, 2025 as reported in Berkshire Hathaway’s 13F submitting on August 14, 2025, apart from:
The complete listing of holdings and present market values is accessible from CNBC.com’s Berkshire Hathaway Portfolio Tracker.
QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS
Please ship any questions or feedback in regards to the e-newsletter to me at alex.crippen@nbcuni.com. (Sorry, however we do not ahead questions or feedback to Buffett himself.)
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Additionally, Buffett’s annual letters to shareholders are extremely beneficial studying. There are collected right here on Berkshire’s web site.
— Alex Crippen, Editor, Warren Buffett Watch
