Bear in mind, the Hollywood guilds — the DGA, PGA, and SAG — replicate principally American voting our bodies. That’s why the Golden Globes and BAFTAs present a greater sign of the place the Oscar voters are heading. As closing voting opens January 12 and ends January 16, the Globes wins have been influential if not predictive.
To state the plain: Movement Image Comedy, Director, and Screenplay Globes winner “One Battle After One other” (Warner Bros.) is not going to be stopped on the highway to Greatest Image, Director, and Tailored Screenplay wins. Magnetic Teyana Taylor has moved into the lead for Greatest Supporting Actress. “One Battle After One other” will compete for probably the most Oscar nominations on January 22 with Golden Globe Field Workplace and Cinematic Achievement winner “Sinners” (Warner Bros.) and “Frankenstein” (Netflix), which went house empty-handed.
Leonardo DiCaprio misplaced to “Marty Supreme” star Timothée Chalamet but once more, as he did on the Critics Selection Awards, and can once more on the Actor Awards and the Oscars. Chalamet has cleaned up his act significantly since “Marty Supreme” opened, sporting darkish fits and taking part in humble, and continues to bathe his associate, Kylie Jenner, with kisses.
Irish Golden Globes Actress in a Drama winner Jessie Buckley (“Hamnet,” Focus) will win the Actor Award, BAFTA, and Oscar. And Buckley’s Irish costar Paul Mescal, who traveled throughout the pond twice in the previous couple of weeks to attend the Critics Selection Awards and Globes as he continued appearing in his Beatles film, is a loyal promoter of her trigger. (Comedy Actress winner, “If I Had Legs I’d Kick You” star Rose Byrne, ought to simply land an Oscar nomination.)
“Hamnet” took Drama as a result of it didn’t face “One Battle After One other,” which competed within the Comedy/Musical class. “Sinners” could not have performed as effectively with the worldwide Globes voters.

And worldwide they’re. The Globes voted for Swedish star Stellan Skarsgård for Supporting Actor for Norwegian Oscar entry “Sentimental Worth.” He’ll land an Oscar nomination together with “One Battle After One other” stars Benicio del Toro and Sean Penn, who might knock one another out once more, Mescal, and Critics Selection shock winner Jacob Elordi, who could push out hapless comedy star Adam Sandler. It’s not his yr.
And making its mark once more was the Globes’ sizable Brazilian voting bloc that gave Fernanda Torres a pivotal win final yr for “I’m Nonetheless Right here,” which pushed her and the film to Actress and Image Oscar nominations and an Worldwide Function win after the autumn of “Emilia Pérez.” They voted for “The Secret Agent” (Neon) for Greatest International Language Movie and for Cannes-winner Wagner Moura for Greatest Actor in a Drama (he was not competing with DiCaprio or Chalamet). He and his director, Kleber Mendonça Filho, have been dwelling in Los Angeles for months, doing the rounds of Q&As and events. (Norway, by the way in which, reps three voting members within the Globes per the awards physique’s web site; Brazil lists 38.)
These wins increase Moura’s probabilities for a Greatest Actor Oscar nomination. The locks are DiCaprio and Chalamet, with Michael B. Jordan (“Sinners”), Ethan Hawke (“Blue Moon”), and Australian star Joel Edgerton (“Practice Desires”) vying for the remaining slots with Moura. All have been on the occasion circuit this weekend. None grabbed as a lot consideration as Globe presenters Connor Storrie and Hudson Williams, although, the celebrities of HBO Canadian import “Heated Rivalry.” We must wait a while for the subsequent episodes, Texan Storrie advised me at Friday’s NBC Common pre-party, the place Elizabeth Banks was wooing him for her subsequent challenge. CAA is fielding provides.
Netflix can relaxation straightforward that they’ll land at the least two Oscar wins (if no more), as Animated Function and Music Globe winner “KPop Demon Hunters” will proceed its successful streak on Oscar evening. On the Netflix after occasion, the “KPop” workforce hit the dance flooring with “Golden.” Additionally rocking out Sunday evening have been Claire Danes (“The Beast in Me”), Robin Wright (“The Girlfriend”), the “Adolescence” crew, and Tessa Thompson (“Hedda”).
At Neon’s Sundown Tower occasion Friday evening, CEO Tom Quinn assembled all 5 of his competing Worldwide Function administrators, together with Jafar Panahi (“It Was Simply an Accident”), Kleber Mendonça Filho (“Secret Agent”), Park Chan-wook (“No Different Selection”), Joachim Trier (“Sentimental Worth”), and Oliver Laxe (“Sirāt”). They’re all well-liked contenders. We’ll know who lands an Oscar nomination on January 22.

