(Reuters) -A take a look at the day forward in European and international markets from Wayne Cole.
Properly, that is as clear as mud. Apparently August 1 is now the U.S. deadline for when increased tariffs will likely be imposed on some nations if no commerce offers are carried out, or underneath method. It is not likely sure which nations that covers, or which offers.
“President Trump‘s going to be sending letters to a few of our buying and selling companions saying that, in the event you do not transfer issues alongside, then on August 1, you’ll boomerang again to your April 2 tariff degree,” Treasury Secretary Bessent informed CNN.
The “letters” are going out to 10 or 12 nations at this time, presumably the identical letters that had been presupposed to go final Friday.
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick informed reporters that the upper tariffs would take impact on August 1, however Trump was “setting the charges and the offers proper now”.
Asserting commerce coverage adjustments in TV interviews doesn’t make for readability, and now it is unsure if the unique July 9 deadline issues, and for whom.
India and the U.S., for example, reportedly may make a mini-deal at this time or tomorrow, however then proceed talks after July 9. In keeping with Bessent, it additionally appears many nations did not hassle to contact the U.S. for talks – and can seemingly be getting stiff letters in return.
Trump added to the confusion by mentioning that some tariffs may attain 60% or 70%, increased even than the 50% set on China. He additionally threatened an additional 10% tariff on nations aligning themselves with the “anti-American insurance policies” of the BRICS, a bunch the U.S. itself is in tariff talks with.
Buyers have reacted with bemusement and nudged Wall St futures down 0.4% or so. Asian share indices are principally decrease on Monday, although not by a lot, whereas Treasury yields are down a foundation level and the greenback caught close to four-year lows.
Oil has been the massive mover, shedding round 1% after OPEC+ shocked by rising manufacturing by rather more than first anticipated, and flagging an identical enhance for September.
Analysts largely see this as Saudi Arabia placing the squeeze on higher-cost producers to seize market share, with low-margin U.S. shale output underneath explicit strain. It is OPEC’s reply to “Drill, child, drill”.
Key developments that would affect markets on Monday:
* EU retail gross sales for Could, Sentix investor confidence forJuly; German industrial output for Could * Participation by ECB President Christine Lagarde and ECBboard member Piero Cipollone in Eurogroup assembly in Brussels;ECB’s Holzmann Converse
(By Wayne Cole; Modifying by Christopher Cushing)
