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Home»Entertainment»2025 Venice Movie Competition Winner Predictions: Golden Lion Guesses
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2025 Venice Movie Competition Winner Predictions: Golden Lion Guesses

VernoNewsBy VernoNewsSeptember 1, 2025No Comments5 Mins Read
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2025 Venice Movie Competition Winner Predictions: Golden Lion Guesses
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The 82nd Venice Movie Competition has yielded no less than one standout, unanimously favored by critics and audiences, turning it into the most well liked ticket for an occasion that additionally welcomes public ticket-buyers: Park Chan-wook’s “No Different Selection,” which Neon already has for stateside launch.

The South Korean “Outdated Boy” and “The Handmaiden” filmmaker has by no means been nominated for an Oscar, however this exuberantly well-directed satire starring Lee Byung-hun as a literal paper-pusher pushed to the murderous brink by a depressed job market is a well timed, invigorating catch for Venice. Man-soo (Lee) is laid off from his job, and units about killing off the competitors to make himself the one standing specialist in his discipline.

Jesse Plemons stars as Teddy Gatz in director Yorgos Lanthimos' BUGONIA, a Focus Features release. Credit: Courtesy of Focus Features © 2025 All Rights Reserved.
Juki and Ondi Timoner

Led by filmmaker Alexander Payne and together with grasp, embellished administrators like Romania’s Cristian Mungiu and Iran’s Mohammad Rasoulof, the jury will no query award “No Different Selection” a prize. Whether or not that’s the Golden Lion for finest movie, finest director Park, or finest actor Lee is anybody’s guess, however it’s nearly sure to be certainly one of them. IndieWire additionally earlier declared “No Different Selection” an Academy Awards contender; Neon, although, has a really busy worldwide slate with Cannes winners “It Was Simply an Accident,” “Sentimental Worth,” “The Secret Agent,” and “Sirat,” which might all be within the operating for the Finest Worldwide Function shortlist.

However again to Venice: Netflix has premiered two out of its three competition titles to date, Noah Baumbach’s “Jay Kelly” and Guillermo del Toro’s “Frankenstein.” Jacob Elordi has earned sturdy vital notices for his bodily transformative portrayal of Victor Frankenstein’s monster; critics, in the meantime, like George Clooney’s flip as a well-known Hollywood actor on the finish of his tether properly sufficient in Baumbach’s comedy. However vital response has been cut up on the latter, which is extra sentimental and misty-eyed than Baumbach’s previous movies. In different phrases, when you’re a “Margot on the Wedding ceremony” fan, this one’s not for you, however phrase has been excessive again in Colorado in Telluride.

Head juror Payne is shut with Clooney after directing him to an Oscar nomination in “The Descendants,” however Adam Sandler is the standout (and with the narrative backing him) within the film as Clooney’s supervisor. I might think about the Venice jury going the surprising route — bear in mind when Lucrecia Martel’s jury awarded “Joker” the Golden Lion? — and honoring Sandler.

Of the Netflix choices to date, Aussie main man Elordi, who has steadily been constructing an important profession out of “Euphoria” and since, looks like a worthy contender for a Venice appearing prize, too. Del Toro, in the meantime, gained the Golden Lion in 2017 for “The Form of Water”; Venice is a hospitable surroundings to the beloved Mexican filmmaker, whose new movie has its vary of ardent followers and admirers even when some evaluations are much less eager on his newest, high-budget gothic imaginative and prescient.

VENICE, ITALY - AUGUST 28: Noah Baumbach and Adam Sandler attend the
Noah Baumbach and Adam Sandler attend the ‘Jay Kelly’ photocall in the course of the 82nd Venice Worldwide Movie Competition on August 28, 2025 in Venice, ItalyGetty Pictures

Swept apart as a result of its place as the primary screening of the competition after Paolo Sorrentino’s muted opener “La Grazia,” László Nemes’ post-World-Battle-II, “Come and See”-esque coming-of-ager “Orphan” hasn’t elicited a lot chatter. It’s a skillfully shot and disturbing portrait of Budapest 1957 a few younger boy assembly the surly man who claims to be his long-lost father. Nemes hasn’t hit the zeitgeist since his 2015 perspectival Holocaust survival drama, “Son of Saul,” which gained the Finest Worldwide Function Oscar.

The warfare in Gaza has been a spotlight of this 12 months’s competition between protests and press-conference remarks; that Nemes spoke out towards Jonathan Glazer’s Oscar speech for “The Zone of Curiosity” addressing the Israel-Palestine battle final 12 months has left some unable to separate artwork from artist at this juncture, however the jury’s job is to have a look at the movies on their very own phrases.

Yorgos Lanthimos’ sci-fi satire “Bugonia,” starring Emma Stone as a CEO government kidnapped by conspiracist Jesse Plemons as a result of he thinks she’s an alien, made a robust early impression on the competition. However Lanthimos gained the Golden Lion for “Poor Issues” in 2023; as a lot because the jury shouldn’t be biased towards previous wins, I don’t see this extraterrestrial-among-us hostage thriller taking the highest prize.

Olivier Assayas’ “The Wizard of Kremlin,” with Paul Dano as a fictional kingmaker to Jude Legislation’s Vladimir Putin, premiered on Sunday and has earned tepid evaluations. Homegrown Italian filmmaker Gianfranco Rosi’s black-and-white documentary “Under the Clouds,” a portrait of Neapolitan everyday-ers beneath Mount Vesuvius, might stand to earn some sort of filmmaking prize for its ruminative black-and-white cinematography and affected person modifying. That the Biennale is extra beneficiant towards together with documentaries in competitors than, say, Cannes, is beginning to quantity to one thing. Laura Poitras’ “All of the Magnificence within the Bloodshed,” in any case, gained the Golden Lion in 2022; her piercing journalism portrait “Cowl-Up” performed out of competitors right here.

There’s nonetheless a lot to come back, from “The Brutalist” Oscar nominee Mona Fastvold’s historic musical drama “The Testomony of Ann Lee” (which Brady Corbet co-wrote and produced, as Fastvold did 2024 Venice winner “The Brutalist”) to Benny Safdie’s A24 solo directing outing “The Smashing Machine” and Kathryn Bigelow’s Netflix thriller “A Home of Dynamite.” Tonight, Jim Jarmusch’s newest, “Father Mom Sister Brother” will premiere. However proper now, the simplest mark when you’re predicting a Venice award winner is, full cease, Park Chan-wook’s “No Different Selection.”

Keep tuned for updates on this submit as extra Venice contenders shake out.

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