We’re coming into Week 12 of the NFL season, which is an effective time to verify in on futures odds.
Whereas Tremendous Bowl odds and playoff odds are going to be fashionable dart performs at this level within the 12 months, season-long awards markets are catching my eye.
At this level within the season, we’ve bought a strong sufficient pattern measurement with which to guage the important thing gamers who’re entrenched in awards races and NFL MVP is shaping as much as be one of the fascinating.
Should you take heed to the pundits, this race is pretty open: reigning NFL MVP Josh Allen, two-time MVP Patrick Mahomes and Jonathan Taylor all get talked about within the dialog.
Should you have a look at the betting odds, that is principally a two-man race.
2025 NFL MVP Odds
| Participant | Odds |
|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford | +140 |
| Drake Maye | +190 |
| Josh Allen | +475 |
| Jonathan Taylor | +700 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 20/1 |
| Jalen Hurts | 35/1 |
| Sam Darnold | 55/1 |
| Jordan Love | 60/1 |
| Lamar Jackson | 60/1 |
| Jared Goff | 60/1 |
Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford is the favourite throughout sportsbooks, with +140 odds at Caesars Sportsbook.
Trailing simply behind Stafford is Patriots quarterback Drake Maye, who has +190 odds.
Josh Allen (+700) and Jonathan Taylor (+700) are the next-closest gamers on the chances board, however their particular person paths to successful appear murky.
Allen led the NFL in QBR, ESPN’s quarterback metric, final season when he received MVP and this season he’s twelfth.
A operating again hasn’t received NFL MVP since Adrian Peterson in 2012 and Saquon Barkley got here in a distant third in voting final season regardless of changing into the ninth participant to hurry for two,000-plus yards.
Even at his present tempo, Taylor wouldn’t attain Barkley’s mark, which doesn’t give me a lot hope that he would fare higher within the voting.
Stafford is having a resurgent marketing campaign in L.A. for his seventeenth season after flirting with leaving the Rams for the Giants this previous offseason. (Seems, it was a sensible transfer to keep away from the G-Males.)
Stafford leads the league in passing touchdowns with 27 scores by the air to only two interceptions coming into Week 12. His Rams are 8-2, tied for the most effective file within the NFC, with a +100 level differential that ranks third within the NFL behind the Seahawks (+101) and Colts (+115). Not a foul resume in any respect.
Drake Maye is in his second NFL season, however he’s taking part in like somebody with 17 years value of expertise. Maye is fourth within the NFL with 20 passing touchdowns, however he leads the NFL in passing yards (2,836) and completion proportion (71.9%).
Betting on the NFL?
His Patriots are 9-2 within the AFC, tied for the most effective file and have received eight straight video games. Fairly spectacular for staff that misplaced to the Raiders at house to open the season.
The house stretch will decide which of those two quarterbacks can take a decisive lead within the MVP race and my cash is on the younger buck.
The Patriots have the second-easiest remaining power of schedule, in keeping with Tankathon. Their two hardest video games left are towards the Payments and the Ravens. Their 4 different video games are towards the Bengals, Giants, Jets and Dolphins, 4 of the bottom-10 go defenses within the NFL.
The Rams have a barely simpler power of schedule, however nonetheless should face the Buccaneers, Falcons, Seahawks and Lions, who rank among the many high 10 groups in sacks.
Stafford has carried out nicely to keep away from getting dropped this season, however Maye has the better path.
It’s solely doable that Maye surpasses Stafford as the favourite with the Bengals and Giants up subsequent on the schedule. Until he utterly falls aside down the stretch, betting him to win MVP at +190 is perhaps the most effective worth on the board.
BET: Drake Maye to win MVP (+190, Caesars)
Why Belief New York Submit Betting
Malik Smith has been immersed within the sports activities betting business since 2017. He’s an information nerd with a selected concentrate on the NBA and fight sports activities. He spends his weeknights within the winter in search of edges on plus-money NBA participant props.
