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Home»Science»Might new comet C/2025 R2 (SWAN) turn into seen to the bare eye in October? Here is what we all know
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Might new comet C/2025 R2 (SWAN) turn into seen to the bare eye in October? Here is what we all know

VernoNewsBy VernoNewsSeptember 22, 2025No Comments8 Mins Read
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Might new comet C/2025 R2 (SWAN) turn into seen to the bare eye in October? Here is what we all know
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A newly found comet will quickly be gracing our night sky.

On Sept. 10, Vladimir Bezugly of Dnipro, Ukraine was inspecting on-line pictures of a low-resolution public web site exhibiting pictures obtained throughout Sept. 5-9 with the Photo voltaic Wind Anisotropies (SWAN) digital camera on the Photo voltaic and Heliospheric Observer (SOHO) spacecraft. That is when he found a transferring object, resembling a vivid blob, shut the solar. The blob turned out to be a comet. A vivid comet.

In actual fact, as Bezugly later famous: “In my reminiscence, this is without doubt one of the brightest comet discoveries ever made on SWAN imagery,” including, “the twentieth official SWAN comet thus far.” Since Bezugly’s first sighting, many different amateurs — primarily within the Southern Hemisphere — have considered it. The comet has since obtained a proper IAU designation on Sept. 15 as Comet C/2025 R2 (SWAN).


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Comet R2 SWAN passes the intense star Spica on Sept. 15 as photographed by Gerald Rheemann and Michael Jäger. (Picture credit score: Gerald Rhemann, Michael Jäger)

Astronomers depend on magnitude to find out brightness. Magnitude is a numerical scale utilized in astronomy to measure the obvious brightness of celestial objects, the place decrease numbers point out brighter objects, and better numbers point out dimmer objects. The brightest stars are magnitude 0 or +1, whereas the restrict for naked-eye visibility below a darkish, non-polluted sky is taken into account to be magnitude +6.5.

A consensus of the newest observations of comet SWAN indicated a magnitude of +7, which locations it simply out of the attain of naked-eye visibility below darkish, moonless skies. Good binoculars, nonetheless, can readily carry it into view.

The everyday description of the comet by these utilizing binoculars and small telescopes is a small, condensed head or coma with a skinny, faint tail extending for roughly 2 levels.

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An orbit primarily based on 60 completely different noticed positions between Sept. 12 and 14, 2025 has been calculated by Syuichi Nakano of the Central Bureau for Astronomical Telegrams. He finds that the comet handed perihelion — its closest level to the solar — on Sept. 12 at a distance of 46.74 million miles (75.20 million km).

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Whereas it’s now transferring away from the solar, it’s at the moment approaching Earth. It is going to come closest to us (perigee) on Oct. 21 when it will likely be 25.10 million miles (40.38 million km) away. Based mostly on its orbital eccentricity of 0.996015, the time it takes for comet SWAN to make one full circuit across the solar is estimated to be on the order of roughly 1,400 years.

How vivid?

Numerous completely different predictions have been made concerning the brightness Comet SWAN because it passes closest to Earth throughout the third week of October. Thus far, brightness forecasts issued by Japanese comet professional Seiichi Yoshida and Dutch comet professional Gideon Van Buitenen point out that the comet will peak someplace between magnitude +6 and +7, in all probability putting it proper on the cusp of naked-eye visibility, however actually inside attain of fine binoculars or small telescopes.

Daniel W.E. Inexperienced on the Central Bureau for Astronomical Telegrams, means that comet SWAN will hover close to magnitude of +6, from Oct. 2 to twenty, maybe turning into a number of tenths of a magnitude brighter for a number of days round Oct. 12, that means it’d turn into faintly seen with the unaided eye.


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The place to search out it and viewing prospects

Proper now, as we famous earlier, comet SWAN has been primarily seen from the Southern Hemisphere; it has been too near the solar to be simply seen north of the equator. However that may step by step change by the top of this month, because the comet takes a extra northerly path. It is going to slowly climb greater within the southwest sky throughout the first ten days of October, reaching an altitude of 12 levels above the horizon on the finish of night twilight (roughly 90 minutes after sundown).

Your clenched fist is the same as roughly 10 levels when held at arm’s size. By Oct. 28, the comet’s altitude can have climbed to 30 levels (“three fists”) above the south-southwest horizon by dusk and by Oct. 25 it’s going to stand midway up within the southern sky when twilight ends, and never set till after midnight.

Throughout October, comet SWAN will transfer alongside a path taking it throughout the constellations of Libra, Scorpius, Ophiuchus, Serpens, Scutum, Sagittarius, Aquila and Aquarius.

A star map with the Milky Way glowing on the right,

A view of the trail comet SWAN will take throughout theconstellations from September 28 by way of October 18. (Picture credit score: Seiichi Yoshida)

As is the case with one other comet we’ve just lately mentioned — comet Lemmon — sighting comet SWAN might show to be slightly troublesome for areas which might be suffering from mild air pollution. Bear in mind, you are not in search of a pointy star-like object, however slightly one thing which is spreading its mild out over a relatively giant space.

Like comet Lemmon, comet SWAN doesn’t look like a dusty comet however is primarily composed of fuel. Such comets seem fainter than comets composed primarily of mud (which is a much better reflector of daylight) and glow with a bluish-white hue. The fuel is activated by the ultraviolet rays of the solar, making the comet glow in a lot the identical approach that black mild causes phosphorescent paint to mild up.

A star map with a glowing Milky Way in the right side of the image with constellations and a line showing the path of comet Swan

A view of the trail comet SWAN will take throughout theconstellations from October 18 by way of October 28. (Picture credit score: Seiichi Yoshida)

So, most who finally find Comet SWAN of their binoculars or telescopes will seemingly describe it as a virtually round cloud, showing noticeably brighter and extra condensed close to the middle. Some may also detect its faint tail showing as a little bit of a skinny, slim appendage extending out from the comet’s coma; type of like an “apple on a stick,” however hardly the type of tail exhibited by different bigger and brighter comets.

Meteor bathe? (NOT!)

One different attribute that has been extensively promoted on social media about comet SWAN is the chance that it’d trigger a meteor bathe someday between October 4 to six. The rationale that this potential has been instructed is that in diagrams exhibiting the comet’s orbit relative to the orbits of the inside planets, it seems that comet SWAN’s orbit intersects the orbit of the Earth proper round Oct. 5.

A orbit map for comet Swan in the solar system with labeled planets

A view depicting the orbital path of Comet SWAN C/2025 R2 relative to the orbits of Mercury, Venus and Earth. The date is October 5 at 12h UT. The orbits of Earth and the comet seem to intersect on the October 5 a part of the Earth’s orbit, resulting in some to take a position that dross shed alongside the trail of comet SWAN would possibly produce a meteor bathe round this time. However as Night time Sky columnist Joe Rao factors out, the orbits are curtate; basically a 2D illustration of a 3D orbit, used to mission the comet onto the Earth’s orbital airplane. In actuality, the comet orbit lies 4.4 million miles (7 million km) above the Earth’s orbit, that means any potential meteoroids would fully miss the Earth. (Picture credit score: NASA JPL Photo voltaic System Dynamics Horizon System)

The idea is that if there may be any meteoric materials that has been shed by the comet on earlier journeys across the solar, that there’s a likelihood that the Earth will encounter it across the time it intersects the orbit of the comet.

An intriguing concept, however it isn’t more likely to occur.

The reason being that the orbits of Earth and comet SWAN won’t intersect on Oct. 5. What’s transpiring is that each objects are touring on curtate orbits. When trying on the orbital paths from a perspective excessive above, it actually seems that the orbits work together with one another.

However in actuality, in accordance with my calculations, on the Oct. 5 level of our orbit, the comet orbit — and any potential cosmic particles that’s touring alongside it, will journey far above our orbit and can miss us by some 4.4 million miles (7 million km). That’s far too broad a spot between the 2 orbits to hope for any kind of semblance of serious meteor exercise.

In addition to, the perfect likelihood to come across any meteoroids shed by comet SWAN could be behind it. However Earth arrives on the Oct. 5 level, forward of it, 16 days earlier than the comet itself passes by. And we have already famous that comet SWAN is generally a gaseous comet and never a dusty comet. So, it isn’t seemingly shedding very a lot materials alongside its path across the solar. Thus, even when we have been to come across the comet orbit instantly, there appears little likelihood we would encounter very a lot comet particles to supply many celestial streaks.

Joe Rao serves as an teacher and visitor lecturer at New York’s Hayden Planetarium. He writes about astronomy for Pure Historical past journal, Sky and Telescope and different publications.

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